XRP $2.14 Upside Supported by $474M in ETF Inflows
Six straight months of US XRP ETF inflows totaling about $474 million back a 90-day model that places $2.14 near the 80th percentile by late November.
A 90-day forecast model places a $2.14 XRP price near the 80th percentile of simulated outcomes. The model’s median projection is $1.47 and the bearish estimate is $1.05; an extreme stress case falls to $0.46.
The model generates ranges from 2,000 simulated price paths that combine volatility modeling, historical simulation and quantile regression. The forecast’s 70th–90th percentile corridor runs roughly $1.81 to $2.81. The $2.14 outcome is about 59% above the model’s $1.35 reference close.
US XRP ETFs recorded net inflows for six consecutive months, totaling about $474 million. Those inflows coincided with a recent price rebound: XRP traded around $1.32–$1.33 on Sept. 2 after a roughly 23%–24% gain over the prior 30 days.
CME Group data show XRP futures averaged 36,600 contracts traded per day in the second quarter, producing about $10.8 billion in notional volume. More recent positioning data indicate leveraged funds are net short the equivalent of roughly 115.7 million XRP, while CME open interest rose about 39.6%.
In regulatory developments, appeals in the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission v. Ripple civil case were dismissed in August 2025, leaving a $125 million penalty and an injunction in place.
XRP market data at the latest reporting point show a market capitalization near $84.46 billion and a circulating supply around 62.74 billion tokens.
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