Bitcoin recovery stalls in June as ETF outflows continue

Bitcoin’s June recovery stalled after spot BTC ETFs saw $2.43B in net outflows in May, including $1.42B in the final week; stablecoin market cap fell about $3B and USDT dropped over $1B in four hours.

Spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds recorded roughly $2.43 billion in net outflows for May, with about $1.42 billion withdrawn in the final week of the month. The weekly withdrawals were among the largest on record and pushed cumulative ETF flows for May deeply negative.

Market seasonality added context to the weakness. Historical data show that June has averaged a return of about -0.8 percent for Bitcoin, making it one of the weaker months on average. May ended a run of consecutive monthly gains for the cryptocurrency.

Stablecoin liquidity also contracted. Total stablecoin market capitalization declined by roughly $3 billion in late May. Tether’s USDT supply fell by more than $1 billion over a four-hour period, reflecting a rapid reduction in one major stablecoin balance.

Stablecoins are commonly used as the pool of deployable capital that moves into crypto markets. When stablecoin balances shrink, there is less cash available on exchanges and trading platforms to buy assets such as Bitcoin.

On-chain and off-chain liquidity measures showed deterioration alongside negative ETF flows. The combination of reduced liquidity and large fund redemptions coincided with muted price action in early June.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs collect investor cash to buy and hold Bitcoin directly, and net flow changes indicate shifts in investor demand for direct Bitcoin exposure. The May outflows reflect withdrawals from those funds over the month and particularly at month end.

Market participants are monitoring daily and weekly ETF flows, stablecoin issuance and liquidity metrics as short-term indicators of demand and market capacity to absorb large orders.

Articles by this author